Ostapenko vs Vesnina: how is this match going to play out?

Ostapenko vs Vesnina: how is this match going to play out?

Ostapenko was beaten by Vesnina two times in her career. On July 25, players will meet once again, in the first round of the Olympic tournament in Tokyo. Will the Latvian player record her first win over the Russian? The answer is in our prediction.

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko needed some time to find her game in 2021. On first eight tournaments of the year she went past the second round only two times. But at the Rome tournament in May Jelena put up a great performance and reached the quarter-final.

Latvian player's results have significantly improved on the grass. Ostapenko won a title in Eastbourne, beating Anett Kontaveit in the final (6:3, 6:3). Everyone expected a successful performance from Jelena on the Wimbledon. But she was beaten in an intensive third round match by Ajla Tomljanovic (6:4, 4:6, 2:6). After that match Ostapenko didn't play a single official match.

Elena Vesnina

Elena Vesnina is coming back on tour after a birth of her child. So far her comeback is not so successful. In six matches she recorded only two victories. But Elena is still hoping to return to her previous positions. 

Vesnina prepared for the Olympic Games in the Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk training camp. Elena already played one match in Tokyo doubles tournament, where she and Kudermetova easily beat Siegemund/Friedsam pair (6:2, 7:5). 

Statistics tips

Second set: total under 9.5

In four out of last five Ostapenko's matches no more than nine games were played in the second set

Total of sets under 2.5

Both head-to-head matches ended with a victory for Vesnina in straight sets


Ostapenko is a clear favourite of this match by bookmakers' choice. But we shouldn't underestimate Vesnina. Russian player recorded two wins in head-to-head matches against the Latvia representative, played one match at Tokyo in doubles, got the feel of the local court. In our prediction we are expecting Vesnina to hold on to a plus handicap.

Our prediction - Vesnina to win with a handicap of (+6) games

Prediction: Handicap (+6) for Vesnina

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Both Vesnina and Ostapenko are inconsistent players, so we shouldn't an easy victory for one of the players. In our prediction we are expecting a long match.

Our second bet is on total over 19 games

Prediction: total over 19

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Tips statistics на теннис

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